QDDresearch

Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario SpA MDIBY

FinancialsBanking ServicesItaly

Last close 28.60 USD on Nov 2, 2026, +42.6% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 113 of 304 in Financials
  1. Growth C 196 of 304
  2. Valuation D 259 of 304
  3. Quality B 114 of 304
  4. Revisions A 39 of 304
  5. Momentum B 82 of 304

Wall Street consensus Hold (3.00)Average target 29.25 USD +2.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)2,1754,2563,0921,9372,157–
Revenue growth−48.9%37.7%59.6%−10.2%−1.2%−0.1%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.941.651.371.141.30–
EPS growth−43.0%20.4%20.4%−12.6%31.5%−1.0%
Gross margin––––––
Net margin27.7%32.1%36.2%49.1%44.4%37.9%
ROE–11.8%11.3%9.3%8.4%10.2%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)–
Tier 1 risk-adjusted capital ratio–
Long-term debt (mil)–
Net debt (mil)–
Total equity (mil)–
Net debt / equity–

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)Book value per shareEPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthP/BMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 2,175−48.9%34.9x 15.70+3.8%1.8x 1.87+13.4%15.3x
2026 4,187+92.5%18.1x 15.80+0.7%1.8x 1.97+5.2%14.5x
2027 4,405+5.2%17.2x 15.08−4.6%1.9x 2.15+8.9%13.3x
2028 4,631+5.1%16.4x 15.53+2.9%1.8x 2.30+7.2%12.4x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20264,187+0.3%+0.3%−0.1%1.97+2.6%+2.6%+4.9%
20274,405+0.4%+0.4%−0.3%2.15+0.9%+3.9%+5.5%
20284,631+0.4%+0.9%0.0%2.30+0.7%+3.5%+7.7%

Earnings surprises

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025FQ-4FQ-3FQ-2FQ-1FQ0
Sales reported (mil)898979865983920951––––
Sales mean (mil)879931871900895958––––
Surprise+2.2%+5.1%−0.8%+9.2%+2.8%−0.7%––––
EPS reported0.390.420.400.400.40–––––
EPS mean0.360.360.400.370.380.41––––
Surprise+7.4%+15.8%0.0%+7.7%+5.3%–––––

Peer comparison Banking Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capTier 1 ratioNet marginDeposits/loansFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 P/BFY2 P/B
MDIBY Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario SpA23.2B–27.7%0.46x14.5x13.3x1.8x1.9x
AER AerCap Holdings N.V.24.4B–48.7%–8.1x8.7x1.2x1.1x
SYF Synchrony Financial23.9B14.5%15.3%0.87x8.1x7.4x1.6x1.4x
BKRKY Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT23.4B–27.3%1.04x357.3x335.6x64.1x61.5x
BNNCY Banco BPM SpA22.9B–36.0%0.85x41.1x38.0x5.5x5.3x
KEY KeyCorp22.7B12.8%20.1%1.41x11.4x9.8x1.4x1.3x
Mean13.6%29.2%0.93x73.4x68.8x12.6x12.1x
Median13.6%27.5%0.87x12.9x11.6x1.7x1.7x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−7.5%
  • 3M−10.8%
  • 1Y+60.8%
  • 3Y+200.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario SpA, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Interest income2,1754,2563,0921,9372,1572,183
Total interest expense1,1422,1701,120371477564
Net interest income1,0332,0861,9721,5661,6811,619
Loan loss provision97.3137140113200364
Net interest income after loan loss provision9351,9491,8331,4531,4801,255
Non-interest income1,0991,9741,6991,6141,6281,338
Non-interest expense−1,255−2,090−1,978−1,850−1,827−1,678
Net income before taxes7791,8321,5541,2181,281915
Provision for taxes177465431264322240
Minority interest & equity in affiliates−0.8−3.4−3.3−2.8−1.9−1.2
Other000000
Net income before extraordinary items6021,3641,120951957674
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income6021,3641,120951957674
Basic weighted average shares (mil)806827841839862861
Diluted weighted average shares (mil)806833845843867866
Basic EPS excluding extraordinary items0.751.651.331.131.110.78
Basic EPS, normalized0.941.651.371.141.300.99

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.