QDDresearch

Metso Oyj OUKPY

IndustrialsMachinery, Tools, Heavy Vehicles, Trains & ShipsFinland

Last close 9.26 USD on Nov 1, 2026, +8.2% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating A Rank 39 of 418 in Industrials
  1. Growth B 149 of 418
  2. Valuation C 278 of 418
  3. Quality A 49 of 418
  4. Revisions B 72 of 418
  5. Momentum B 69 of 418

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.38)Average target 20.77 USD +124.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)6,1545,2035,9485,3194,815–
Revenue growth18.3%−12.5%11.8%10.5%18.8%8.7%
EPS (basic, normalized)0.630.430.730.600.54–
EPS growth46.3%−41.4%22.7%11.4%––
Gross margin32.0%33.2%31.6%26.7%27.8%30.3%
Net margin9.2%10.1%9.9%6.4%6.9%8.5%
ROE18.3%19.4%21.6%13.8%13.7%17.4%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)504
Current ratio1.47x
Long-term debt (mil)1,663
Net debt (mil)1,351
Total equity (mil)3,083
Net debt / equity0.44x
Net debt / EBITDA1.31x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 6,154+18.3%2.7x 1,028+9.4%16.4x 0.63+46.3%14.7x
2026 6,210+0.9%2.7x 1,136+10.5%14.9x 0.80+27.7%11.5x
2027 6,925+11.5%2.4x 1,337+17.7%12.6x 0.98+21.7%9.5x
2028 7,508+8.4%2.2x 1,492+11.6%11.3x 1.12+14.8%8.3x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20266,210−1.1%−1.1%−1.1%0.80−2.1%−2.2%−1.8%
20276,925+0.8%+1.3%+2.2%0.98+1.5%+1.5%+3.1%
20287,508+1.5%+2.2%+4.0%1.12+2.6%+3.1%+6.1%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)1,2171,2141,1601,2721,1731,2131,3281,4431,2521,334
Sales mean (mil)1,2891,3171,2241,2471,2271,2241,2401,3811,2861,368
Surprise−5.6%−7.8%−5.2%+2.0%−4.4%−0.9%+7.1%+4.5%−2.6%−2.5%
EPS reported0.140.150.150.210.150.160.170.150.150.19
EPS mean0.150.170.160.160.160.150.160.170.160.18
Surprise−9.3%−14.0%−6.2%+35.7%−4.6%+9.7%+3.5%−14.2%−6.5%+7.8%

Peer comparison Machinery, Tools, Heavy Vehicles, Trains & Ships

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
OUKPY Metso Oyj15.5B1.31x9.2%5.10x11.5x9.5x14.9x12.6x
KNRRY Knorr Bremse AG16.3B1.33x6.8%4.31x4.9x4.2x10.6x9.6x
IHICY IHI Corporation16.0B1.92x9.8%3.55x13.6x14.7x8.6x9.0x
SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.15.6B2.54x2.7%1.74x18.4x16.4x11.2x10.4x
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.15.0B1.03x12.3%9.65x24.1x21.6x16.4x15.1x
RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated14.6B1.14x15.4%4.23x31.2x27.9x22.0x19.8x
Mean1.55x9.4%4.76x17.3x15.7x14.0x12.8x
Median1.32x9.5%4.27x16.0x15.5x13.1x11.5x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−2.1%
  • 3M+4.0%
  • 1Y+14.8%
  • 3Y+143.2%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Metso Oyj, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue6,1545,2035,9485,3194,8154,053
Cost of revenue4,1823,4744,0693,8983,4762,967
Gross profit1,9721,7291,8791,4211,3391,087
Selling, general & administrative expenses905749821725683655
Research & development10697.360.743.965.955.0
Depreciation/amortization13692.185.087.888.772.1
Interest expense (income), operating17419215.547.115.911.0
Unusual expense (income)11.36.83.0015.90
Other operating expenses−223−1835.5−6.4−13.62.4
Operating income863775888524483292
Net interest income (expense)−83.4−53.8−67.3−58.9−27.3−30.5
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)−32.9−28.0−22.1−9.6−18.2−15.9
Net income before taxes747694799456438245
Provision for taxes17616920611610563.5
Minority interest−4.7−1.0−2.2000
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items566524590340333182
Extraordinary items−69.3−1838.8−19.354.6−13.4
Net income497341599321388169
EBIT, normalized1,093985934745588391
EBITDA, normalized1,3131,1501,101904771583
Basic EPS, normalized0.630.430.730.600.54–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.