QDDresearch

PDD Holdings Inc. PDD

Consumer DiscretionarySoftware & IT ServicesIreland

Last close 81.68 USD on Nov 2, 2026, −28.0% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating B Rank 70 of 297 in Consumer Discretionary
  1. Growth A 19 of 297
  2. Valuation C 138 of 297
  3. Quality A 28 of 297
  4. Revisions C 124 of 297
  5. Momentum C 207 of 297

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.26)Average target 113.66 USD +39.2%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends December 31

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)61,75353,95534,89018,92914,790–
Revenue growth14.5%54.6%84.3%28.0%62.2%46.6%
EPS (basic, normalized)10.4911.416.463.991.50–
EPS growth−8.1%76.6%61.9%165.3%––
Gross margin56.3%60.9%63.0%75.9%66.2%64.5%
Net margin22.7%28.5%24.2%24.2%8.3%21.6%
ROE26.9%44.9%39.4%32.7%11.5%31.1%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)67,267
Current ratio2.62x
Long-term debt (mil)0
Net debt (mil)−67,267
Total equity (mil)65,996
Net debt / equity−1.02x
Net debt / EBITDA−4.50x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 61,753+14.5%0.8x 14,949−6.9%3.2x 10.49−8.1%7.8x
2026 69,861+13.1%0.7x 16,135+7.9%3.0x 10.32−1.6%7.9x
2027 77,155+10.4%0.6x 18,639+15.5%2.6x 12.39+20.1%6.6x
2028 84,241+9.2%0.6x 21,516+15.4%2.2x 14.24+14.9%5.7x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
202669,861−0.1%−2.9%−5.6%10.32−0.1%+1.2%−16.4%
202777,155−0.1%−3.9%−7.0%12.390.0%+0.6%−14.0%
202884,241−0.1%−3.3%−6.8%14.240.0%−1.1%−11.7%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 2 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)86,81297,06099,354110,61095,672103,985108,277123,912106,229112,358
Sales mean (mil)75,65899,857102,971115,695102,508103,339108,408124,425109,334116,350
Surprise+14.7%−2.8%−3.5%−4.4%−6.7%+0.6%−0.1%−0.4%−2.8%−3.4%
EPS reported20.7223.2418.5920.1511.4122.0721.0817.699.5119.33
EPS mean10.0719.4619.7919.8118.5115.7416.8420.7616.6318.22
Surprise+105.8%+19.4%−6.0%+1.7%−38.4%+40.3%+25.1%−14.8%−42.8%+6.1%

Peer comparison Software & IT Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
PDD PDD Holdings Inc.116.3B−4.50x22.7%1.73x7.9x6.6x3.0x2.6x
GOOGL Alphabet Inc.3.42T−0.67x32.8%5.06x14.2x18.7x14.3x10.8x
MSFT Microsoft Corporation3.77T0.22x40.3%8.00x25.4x21.2x15.6x12.5x
0700 Tencent Holdings Limited454.6B0.29x29.9%2.66x11.5x11.0x8.7x8.0x
META Meta Platforms, Inc.1.58T0.01x37.1%5.69x21.0x18.0x11.3x8.8x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited252.5B−0.48x10.3%1.50x15.1x10.7x9.4x6.8x
Mean−0.86x28.8%4.11x15.9x14.4x10.4x8.2x
Median−0.23x31.4%3.86x14.7x14.5x10.4x8.4x

Technical analysis

  • 1M+8.4%
  • 3M−7.8%
  • 1Y−39.4%
  • 3Y−19.4%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, PDD Holdings Inc., fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue61,75353,95534,89018,92914,7909,118
Cost of revenue26,99821,08412,9234,5624,9932,955
Gross profit34,75532,87121,96714,3679,7976,163
Selling, general & administrative expenses19,08216,28312,1548,4547,2946,544
Research & development2,3591,7341,5431,5061,2931,054
Depreciation/amortization––––1242.6
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)––––––
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income13,31314,8548,2704,4081,086−1,438
Net interest income (expense)3,3772,8961,441550299295
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)39042741632210329.7
Net income before taxes17,08118,17810,1275,2801,489−1,113
Provision for taxes3,1082,7771,6706853040
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates18.42.4−0.7−22.538.912.8
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items13,99115,4038,4574,5731,223−1,100
Extraordinary items––––––
Net income13,99115,4038,4574,5731,223−1,100
EBIT, normalized13,31314,8548,2704,4081,086−1,438
EBITDA, normalized13,39914,9518,3814,7301,376−1,315
Basic EPS, normalized10.4911.416.463.991.50–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 2, 2026 after market close.