QDDresearch

Fair Isaac Corporation FICO

Information TechnologySoftware & IT ServicesUnited States of America

Last close 711.23 USD on Nov 1, 2026, −57.9% year to date

Quant rating

Quant rating C Rank 241 of 389 in Information Technology
  1. Growth B 105 of 389
  2. Valuation A 32 of 389
  3. Quality B 72 of 389
  4. Revisions D 349 of 389
  5. Momentum D 333 of 389

Wall Street consensus Buy (2.43)Average target 1,012.30 USD +42.3%

Historical valuation

Multiples use consensus estimates for the next twelve months. The dashed line is the 5-year average.

Growth and profitability fiscal year ends September 30

Growth and profitability by fiscal year
202520242023202220215Y avg
Revenue (mil)1,9911,7181,5141,3771,317–
Revenue growth15.9%13.5%9.9%4.6%1.7%9.0%
EPS (basic, normalized)29.8823.7419.7117.2213.07–
EPS growth25.9%20.4%14.5%31.8%––
Gross margin82.2%79.7%79.4%78.1%74.7%78.8%
Net margin32.7%29.9%28.4%27.1%29.8%29.6%
ROE––––356.2%356.2%
Balance sheet, last quarter
Cash & short-term investments (mil)248
Current ratio1.18x
Long-term debt (mil)5,282
Net debt (mil)5,334
Total equity (mil)−4,097
Net debt / equity−1.30x
Net debt / EBITDA4.82x

Estimates and valuation

Consensus estimates and implied multiples
Sales (mil)EBITDA (mil)EPS
Fiscal yearMean est.GrowthEV/SalesMean est.GrowthEV/EBITDAMean est.GrowthP/E
2025 actual 1,991+15.9%10.4x 1,107+22.2%18.7x 29.88+25.9%23.8x
2026 2,532+27.2%8.2x 1,547+39.7%13.4x 42.70+42.9%16.7x
2027 2,713+7.1%7.6x 1,684+8.9%12.3x 47.84+12.0%14.9x
2028 2,984+10.0%6.9x 1,868+10.9%11.1x 55.47+16.0%12.8x

Estimate revisions

Change in consensus estimates over 1, 3 and 6 months
SalesEPS
Fiscal yearEstimate (mil)1M3M6MEstimate1M3M6M
20262,532−0.4%−0.6%−0.5%42.70−0.6%−1.0%−0.2%
20272,713−5.3%−6.8%−7.5%47.84−8.0%−10.5%−11.4%
20282,984−6.6%−8.5%−7.0%55.47−11.0%−14.3%−13.9%

Earnings surprises EPS beat in 4 of the last 4 quarters

Reported results versus consensus, last 10 fiscal quarters
Quarter endedMar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Sales reported (mil)434448454440499536516512692674
Sales mean (mil)426445448452500515513501630679
Surprise+1.9%+0.5%+1.3%−2.7%−0.2%+4.1%+0.5%+2.1%+9.8%−0.7%
EPS reported6.146.256.545.797.818.577.747.3312.5012.18
EPS mean5.816.326.396.077.447.707.347.0610.9811.74
Surprise+5.7%−1.1%+2.4%−4.6%+5.0%+11.3%+5.4%+3.8%+13.9%+3.8%

Peer comparison Software & IT Services

Peers in the same industry group, by market capitalization
CompanyMarket capNet debt/EBITDANet marginP/BFY1 P/EFY2 P/EFY1 EV/EBITDAFY2 EV/EBITDA
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation15.4B4.82x32.7%−3.75x16.7x14.9x13.4x12.3x
IBM International Business Machines Corp243.7B2.78x17.4%6.86x20.8x19.4x14.6x13.7x
CRM Salesforce, Inc.188.6B1.57x18.0%4.91x13.7x14.3x11.1x10.3x
ACN Accenture PLC152.6B−0.07x11.3%4.87x17.6x16.2x10.1x9.6x
ADBE Adobe Inc97.4B0.06x30.0%8.32x10.2x9.0x7.6x7.1x
CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation29.1B0.00x12.4%1.98x11.3x10.4x7.1x6.7x
Mean1.53x20.3%3.87x15.0x14.0x10.6x9.9x
Median0.82x17.7%4.89x15.2x14.6x10.6x9.9x

Technical analysis

  • 1M−15.4%
  • 3M−46.8%
  • 1Y−57.3%
  • 3Y−16.1%

Financial statements in millions of USD

Income statement, Fair Isaac Corporation, fiscal years, most recent first
202520242023202220212020
Total revenue1,9911,7181,5141,3771,3171,295
Cost of revenue354348311302332361
Gross profit1,6371,3691,2031,075984933
Selling, general & administrative expenses513463401384396421
Research & development188172160147171166
Depreciation/amortization00.91.12.13.35.0
Interest expense (income), operating––––––
Unusual expense (income)10.90−1.90−92.245.0
Other operating expenses000000
Operating income925734643542505296
Net interest income (expense)−134−106−95.5−69.0−40.1−42.2
Gain (loss) on sale of assets––––––
Other non-operating income (expense)11.414.06.3−2.17.73.2
Net income before taxes803642554471473257
Provision for taxes15112912497.881.120.6
Minority interest––––––
Equity in affiliates––––––
U.S. GAAP adjustment––––––
Net income before extraordinary items652513429374392236
Extraordinary items–––––0
Net income652513429374392236
EBIT, normalized936734641542413341
EBITDA, normalized946744652560437369
Basic EPS, normalized29.8823.7419.7117.2213.07–

Disclaimer

The financial data presented in this report is delayed and obtained from sources QDD Research believes to be reliable, including stock exchanges, SEDAR, and EDGAR. However, no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information. QDD Research accepts no liability for any errors, omissions, or financial losses arising from the use of this data.

This report is generated using a fully systematic and quantitative approach. All factor scores and the overall quant rating (ranging from D to A+) are derived from algorithmic models and are based solely on objective financial metrics. These scores are intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.

QDD Research is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not provide personalized financial advice. The content is not tailored to the specific investment goals, financial situation, or risk profile of any individual investor. We strongly encourage readers to consult with a licensed broker or investment advisor before making any investment decisions based on the information contained in this report.

Live quote provided by TradingView. Report data updated Nov 1, 2026 after market close.